Posts In: Stock Ideas

Geoff Gannon November 2, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

The Most Interesting Stocks to Start Researching Right Now

NACCO (NC): $35.90 – down 11% today Cheesecake Factory (CAKE): $42.31 – down 6% today Omnicom (OMC): $66.41 Under Armour (UA): $10.58 – down 6% today (only consider “UA” shares not “UAA” shares) Hostess Brands Warrants (TWNKW) – $1.35 (a pair of warrants at $2.70 gives you an option to buy 1 share at $11.50 in 2021)...

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Geoff Gannon October 25, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

Cimpress (CMPR)

Guest Write-up by Jayden Preston   Introduction Vistaprint was founded in 1994 by Robert Keane, on the idea that there was a market for producing business cards cheaply for companies too small to order in large quantities. Through utilizing the internet, creating better software and printing technologies to make such mass customization cost effective and efficient, the business has turned out to be a huge success. 23 years later, Vistaprint has become a clear leader in mass customization of marketing materials for small businesses. It...

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Geoff Gannon October 19, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

What’s NACCO’s Margin of Safety?

  After reading my write-up, a member asked me about the margin of safety in NACCO (NC): “…why would someone put half of their portfolio weight in a stock like this where there is customer concentration risk plus a real risk that one of the customers may close shop? Agree that its FCF yield is 10% or so but does it deserve that kind of weight?” I don’t want to exaggerate the safety of this stock. I didn’t write it up for a newsletter. This...

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Geoff Gannon October 18, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

Does NACCO (NC) Have Any Peers?

A Focused Compounding member who analyzed and bought NACCO himself read my write-up on NC and was curious if I did a “peer analysis” for NACCO: “Did you consider looking at any potential peers with your analysis? I was quite simplistic with my approach. Omnicom splits cash out year in year out. Its current EV to free cash flow is around 10x whereas I looked at NACCO and thought its EV to free cash flow was around 5x (NOTE: At the much lower spin-off price...

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Geoff Gannon October 17, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

MSCI

Guest write-up by Jayden Preston.   Overview Spun off from Morgan Stanley in 2007, MSCI is a leading provider of investment decision support tools to investment institutions worldwide. They produce indexes and risk and return portfolio analytics for use in managing investment portfolios.   Their flagship products are their international equity indexes marketed under the MSCI brand. They also offer other products that assist investors making investment decisions. These include portfolio analysis by their Barra platform; risk management by their RiskMetrics product; provision of ratings and...

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Andrew Kuhn October 9, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

A Few Thoughts on Hostess Brands

“Your premium brand had better be delivering something special, or it’s not going to get the business” -Warren Buffett For the past few weeks I have been studying and doing research on Hostess Brands, the maker of the classic chocolate cupcake with the squiggly white frosting line and of course the iconic, golden, cream-filled Twinkie. At first glance, the company passed almost all my filters on my investment checklist for a company I would want to be involved with. They claim to have a 90%...

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Geoff Gannon May 18, 2017 Stock Ideas

Car-Mart (CRMT): Like the Company, Hate the Industry

Car-Mart (CRMT) now trades for $35 a share. I picked the stock for my old newsletter, The Avid Hog (you can read all 27 past issues of that newsletter here), when it was trading at $38 a share back in June of 2014. So, it’s now three years later. And the stock is now 8% cheaper. Do I like Car-Mart more today than I did in 2014? No. Ideally, a stock should be: Cheap Good Safe I’m not sure Car-Mart meets all 3 of those...

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Geoff Gannon May 10, 2017 Stock Ideas

Grainger (GWW): Lower Prices, Higher Volumes

The Original Pick I picked Grainger (GWW) for a newsletter I used to write. The pick was made in April of 2016. Grainger traded at $229 a share when I picked it. Today, the stock trades for $188 a share. That’s one reason to look at the stock now. Reason #1 for considering GWW: I picked the stock when the price was 22% higher than it is now. There’s another. Over the last twelve months, here’s how Grainger’s stock performed versus the shares of is...

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