Posts By: Geoff Gannon

Geoff Gannon March 20, 2013

How to Read a 10-K

A blog I read, valuepraxreviewed How to Read a Book. I had never read the book before. So I thought I would give it a try. It is – of course – mostly about reading books. And while investors read a lot (in fact, that’s most of what they do) it rarely comes in book form.

Still, a lot of what you’ll find in How to Read a Book can help with reading 10-Ks, S-1s, investor presentations, earnings call transcripts, annual letters, newspaper articles, trade journals, etc.

I think this quote sums up the problem new investors have:

Most of us are addicted to non-active reading. The outstanding fault of the non-active or undemanding reader is his inattention to words, and his consequent failure to come to terms with the author.

SEC reports are not known for being communicative. But in most cases where someone emails me asking about a part of a 10-K they do not understand – the answer can be found in the same 10-K. You just have to read the footnotes, understand how the income statement and cash flow statement and balance sheet relate, and know whether the company is using GAAP or IFRS. With the internet, you don’t even need to know all the actual norms of GAAP and IFRS – since you can always just google “IFRS biological assets” if you’re confused.

This sounds like a lot to keep straight. But if you come to every 10-K armed with a pen, a pad of paper, a highlighter, and a calculator – it’s so much easier. When I see something out of the ordinary I just scrawl “Depreciating too fast?”, “Why did marketing expense double?”, “When was building bought?”, etc. right in the margin.

It is easy to miss the relevance of depreciation method, useful life, residual value, etc. in a depreciation footnote if you read it the way you would read a newspaper article, novel, etc. Most people read most things passively.

Read the 10-K actively.

A depreciation footnote takes on a whole new meaning when you are looking through the 10-K specifically making calculations based on questions you came up with yourself about depreciation. You now read it in the context that matters to you.

Here’s one other great piece of advice from How to Read a Book. Just read the whole thing straight through first. It’s amazing how few people read a 10-K twice. If you’ve ever seen a movie straight through twice – within the same week or so – you’ll realize you missed a lot the first time through. Popular movies are not made to be dense or difficult to understand. But I don’t think there’s anyone who can see even a very superficial seeming movie twice in the same week and not find something in the rewatch they missed the first time through.

Why?

Context. The best context in which to analyze something is to already be familiar with it. The first time …

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Geoff Gannon March 12, 2013

Hint: Read the Oldest 10-K

I recently mentioned something in an email that I’m not sure I’ve said before on this blog. I always read the newest and oldest 10-K for a company when I start analyzing it. Reading the oldest 10-K gives you perspective.

This little habit will make you a better investor.

EDGAR has 10-Ks going back to the mid 1990s. So, you’ll have the experience of reading a 2012 annual report and something like a 1996 annual report.

This always gives me added perspective on the business. And it gets my thinking about how the business has changed over time and how it will change in the future.…

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Geoff Gannon March 10, 2013

John Byrne, Former GEICO CEO, Dies

The man who turned around GEICO died:

John Byrne, Geico CEO Buffett Cited for ‘Brilliance,’ Dies at 80

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Geoff Gannon March 9, 2013

News: George Risk (RSKIA) and Ark Restaurants (ARKR)

I only own two American stocks. Both are micro caps. They are George Risk (RSKIA) and Ark Restaurants (ARKR). Both stocks came out with news recently.

Ken Risk, the CEO and majority (58%) owner of George Risk, died. His daughter, already the CFO, was made President and Chairman. His widow was also added to the board.  The company’s record under Ken Risk was extraordinary. His death is a big negative for shareholders.

Ark Restaurants rejected a $22 a share buyout offer from Landry’s. Then Landry’s sent out a press release questioning the motives of Ark’s board.

Here are the latest press releases in each story:

George Risk 8-K

Landry’s Press Release

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Geoff Gannon January 11, 2013

Charlie Munger’s 3 Places to Find Stocks

Market Folly links to an interview Mohnish Pabrai gave to The Motely Fool. In that interview, Pabrai mentions 3 places Charlie Munger said you should look for stocks. Munger said to look for stocks that:

  1. Great investors are buying
  2. Are reducing their share count
  3. Are being spun-off

For #1 you can read the Market Folly blog, go to GuruFocus, or subscribe to the Hedge Fund Wisdom Newsletter.

For #2 you can read Value Line, go to GuruFocus, or go to Morningstar.

And for #3 you can go someplace like StockSpinoffs.com.…

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Geoff Gannon December 22, 2012

John Malone Buys $56 Million of Liberty Media (LMCA) Stock

I mentioned John Malone recently because I just watched an interview he did. Then I noticed Whopper Investments recommended Cable Cowboy which is a book about John Malone and TCI. And now, I see from Asif Suria’s “Insider Weekends” that on December 18th John Malone bought $56 million of Liberty Media (LMCA) stock.…

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Geoff Gannon December 20, 2012

John Malone Interview

Mr. Market blog links to an excellent John Malone interview. It is definitely worth watching the whole thing. By the way, if you don’t know anything about John Malone the book Cable Cowboy is a good place to start.

Talk to Geoff

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Geoff Gannon December 20, 2012

Oddball Stocks Posts 13 Stocks for 2013

Nate over at Oddball Stocks put up a list of 13 stocks for 2013. This is a good list of obscure stocks from around the world. They are all worth looking into.

Talk to Geoff

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Geoff Gannon December 20, 2012

Japanese Net-Nets: Noda Screen Management Buyout

Some readers emailed me about the fact that a company from my list of 15 Japanese net-nets I put out in a 2011 report is going private. The company is Noda Screen. It is up 124% in the last year. But only 32% since my “Buy Japan” post in March of 2011. Another company from the net-net list, Sanjo Machine Works, was taken private about a year ago.

For details on how Japanese net-nets performed from early 2011 through early 2012 see the post “How About Those Japanese Net-Nets” at Oddball Stocks.…

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Geoff Gannon December 20, 2012

New York Stock Exchange Sold: Urbana Cheap

Whopper Investments has a post discussing what the sale of the New York Stock Exchange means for the Canadian closed end fund Urbana.

A lot of value bloggers have a problem with the management of Urbana. I don’t. But I do have a problem with the price of the portfolio that will be left after this merger. If you look at the stocks that make up the bulk of Urbana’s portfolio – which will be CBOE (CBOE) and some amount of Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) – these are pricey stocks.

Still, Urbana’s discount to net asset value was recently about 50%. It is a stock worth watching because the discount to NAV is often big and the portfolio is easy to understand. But the underlying assets are not something I’m interested in.

My favorite holding companies to invest in are situations where I like the underlying assets and think they are reasonably priced and then I get a discount to NAV. At Urbana, I think the discount to NAV is the only attraction.

But if you want to invest in securities exchanges, Urbana is the place to start.…

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