Posts In: Stock Ideas

Andrew Kuhn November 27, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

Quick Summary of 2 Businesses I’ve Studied Recently

  CARS- Cars.com recently completed the spinoff from their parent company Tegna Inc, and started trading as its own publicly traded company on June 1st. Geoff and I did some research on the company a little over a month ago and we have been watching from the sidelines ever since. Cars.com is a very capital-light, cash flow generative company with a solid brand and one I would say is not going to “go-away” within the next 10 years. This all being said, they operate and...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Andrew Kuhn November 24, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

My New Position in the Portfolio

As many of you know who read my email last week, I opened a new position in Hostess Brands. In my email I wrote: “Andrew has built a new 10% position in his portfolio in Hostess Brands ($TWNK) at an average price of $12.46. I am willing to hold this company for a few years and am willing to let my thesis I outlined in my Focused Compounding post play out. In addition, if the stock price falls below my basis without any material change...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Andrew Kuhn November 10, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

Green Brick Partners Q3 Earnings: It’s still cheap…

Green Brick Partners reported earnings this past week on November 6th. For those of you who don’t know much about the company, here is a summary that Geoff wrote about the company back in September: “Green Brick Partners is a homebuilder that is split close to evenly between Dallas Fort-Worth (it builds homes in places like Frisco, which is right by where I live in Plano) and Atlanta. I don’t know the Atlanta housing market. But, I do know the Dallas housing market. The stock...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Geoff Gannon November 3, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

NACCO (NC): First Earnings Report as a Standalone Company

Two days ago, NACCO (NC) released its first quarterly results as a standalone company. Yesterday morning, the company had its first earnings call as a standalone company. The stock dropped 10% following these events. I’m not going to write about NACCO each quarter. But, some people asked for my thoughts on the quarter and the stock drop. So, I’ll do it this once. Overall, the earnings call and the stock drop reinforced my belief that it could take a year or more of NACCO trading...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Geoff Gannon November 2, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

The Most Interesting Stocks to Start Researching Right Now

NACCO (NC): $35.90 – down 11% today Cheesecake Factory (CAKE): $42.31 – down 6% today Omnicom (OMC): $66.41 Under Armour (UA): $10.58 – down 6% today (only consider “UA” shares not “UAA” shares) Hostess Brands Warrants (TWNKW) – $1.35 (a pair of warrants at $2.70 gives you an option to buy 1 share at $11.50 in 2021)...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Geoff Gannon October 25, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

Cimpress (CMPR)

Guest Write-up by Jayden Preston   Introduction Vistaprint was founded in 1994 by Robert Keane, on the idea that there was a market for producing business cards cheaply for companies too small to order in large quantities. Through utilizing the internet, creating better software and printing technologies to make such mass customization cost effective and efficient, the business has turned out to be a huge success. 23 years later, Vistaprint has become a clear leader in mass customization of marketing materials for small businesses. It...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Geoff Gannon October 19, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

What’s NACCO’s Margin of Safety?

  After reading my write-up, a member asked me about the margin of safety in NACCO (NC): “…why would someone put half of their portfolio weight in a stock like this where there is customer concentration risk plus a real risk that one of the customers may close shop? Agree that its FCF yield is 10% or so but does it deserve that kind of weight?” I don’t want to exaggerate the safety of this stock. I didn’t write it up for a newsletter. This...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Geoff Gannon October 18, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

Does NACCO (NC) Have Any Peers?

A Focused Compounding member who analyzed and bought NACCO himself read my write-up on NC and was curious if I did a “peer analysis” for NACCO: “Did you consider looking at any potential peers with your analysis? I was quite simplistic with my approach. Omnicom splits cash out year in year out. Its current EV to free cash flow is around 10x whereas I looked at NACCO and thought its EV to free cash flow was around 5x (NOTE: At the much lower spin-off price...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Geoff Gannon October 17, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

MSCI

Guest write-up by Jayden Preston.   Overview Spun off from Morgan Stanley in 2007, MSCI is a leading provider of investment decision support tools to investment institutions worldwide. They produce indexes and risk and return portfolio analytics for use in managing investment portfolios.   Their flagship products are their international equity indexes marketed under the MSCI brand. They also offer other products that assist investors making investment decisions. These include portfolio analysis by their Barra platform; risk management by their RiskMetrics product; provision of ratings and...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more
Andrew Kuhn October 9, 2017 Premium Articles-01, Stock Ideas

A Few Thoughts on Hostess Brands

“Your premium brand had better be delivering something special, or it’s not going to get the business” -Warren Buffett For the past few weeks I have been studying and doing research on Hostess Brands, the maker of the classic chocolate cupcake with the squiggly white frosting line and of course the iconic, golden, cream-filled Twinkie. At first glance, the company passed almost all my filters on my investment checklist for a company I would want to be involved with. They claim to have a 90%...

This content is for Regular Membership and Annual Membership members only. Please login or register to view our content.
Log In Register
Read more